Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.001009 0.001045 0.001082 0.001121 0.001164 0.001207 0.001256
2025-09-07 0.000946 0.000999 0.001054 0.001117 0.001186 0.001261 0.001347
2025-09-14 0.000889 0.000954 0.001023 0.001103 0.001194 0.001296 0.001418
2025-09-21 0.000842 0.000914 0.000993 0.001087 0.001197 0.001322 0.001477
2025-09-28 0.000807 0.000885 0.000973 0.001079 0.001205 0.001354 0.001544
2025-10-05 0.000762 0.000843 0.000933 0.001045 0.001181 0.001344 0.001557
2025-10-12 0.000737 0.000821 0.000917 0.001037 0.001186 0.001368 0.001613
2025-10-19 0.000719 0.000806 0.000908 0.001038 0.001201 0.001404 0.001684
2025-10-26 0.000698 0.000788 0.000893 0.001029 0.001203 0.001423 0.001734
2025-11-02 0.000684 0.000777 0.000887 0.001030 0.001217 0.001458 0.001807
2025-11-09 0.000667 0.000761 0.000874 0.001023 0.001219 0.001477 0.001858
2025-11-16 0.000649 0.000744 0.000859 0.001012 0.001215 0.001486 0.001895
2025-11-23 0.000644 0.000742 0.000863 0.001025 0.001245 0.001545 0.002010
2025-11-30 0.000634 0.000735 0.000859 0.001029 0.001262 0.001585 0.002100
2025-12-07 0.000619 0.000721 0.000847 0.001020 0.001261 0.001600 0.002152
2025-12-14 0.000604 0.000705 0.000832 0.001008 0.001254 0.001606 0.002189
2025-12-21 0.000592 0.000694 0.000822 0.001001 0.001255 0.001623 0.002245
2025-12-28 0.000571 0.000671 0.000796 0.000972 0.001223 0.001588 0.002212
2026-01-04 0.000560 0.000660 0.000787 0.000965 0.001222 0.001601 0.002261
2026-01-11 0.000553 0.000654 0.000783 0.000966 0.001232 0.001631 0.002341
2026-01-18 0.000543 0.000644 0.000773 0.000958 0.001229 0.001641 0.002386
2026-01-25 0.000537 0.000639 0.000770 0.000959 0.001240 0.001673 0.002473
2026-02-01 0.000528 0.000630 0.000762 0.000953 0.001239 0.001685 0.002524